i read through alot of the chat - no much analyse of practical calculation on future estimate.
Can others provide different situation calculation to see if I am missing anything in my numbers
I have based on estimate projected scenarios
In each example I have:
* Decrease production and also reduced Li future price and my worst cast scenario at the bottom still show cxo making a profit.
This dumping today is an over reaction - suggesting that cxo costs had blown out and there was little to mine and it is making a loss and Lithium price just dropped by 50%....... this reaction by the market has to be influenced by the shorts..... not a normal reaction to negative commets of less production in 2025 by ceo.
OR - is there further information that we dont know and shorts know about????
current price SUSD $4,840/dmt = 7188.22aud ton produced 80,000 1,416 per tonne including royalties 113,280,000 - 80,000 5,300 conservative price in future 424,000,000 310,720,000 current price SUSD $4,840/dmt = 7188.22aud ton produced 70,000 1,416 per tonne including royalties 99,120,000 - 70,000 4,850 conservative price in future 339,500,000 240,380,000 current price SUSD $4,840/dmt = 7188.22aud ton produced 60,000 1,416 per tonne including royalties 84,960,000 - 60,000 4,000 conservative price in future 240,000,000 155,040,000 current price SUSD $4,840/dmt = 7188.22aud ton produced 50,000 1,416 per tonne including royalties 70,800,000 - 50,000 3,500 conservative price in future 175,000,000 104,200,000
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