HLI 1.25% $3.95 helia group limited

Half year result guesses, page-21

  1. 396 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 56
    When you look at previous divvies, except two covid induced halves, the probability is for greater payouts in the interim. Over the last 9 years the average is about about 17c per half.

    We are on a PE of ~7 at $3.70. If it trading on a similar PE to the banks, say 10, the share price would be $4.80, which is above book value. Even a modest 5% divvy on $4.80 would be 24c.

    Also, almost a quarter of the share register has been been bought back in the last few years, which means 25% extra per share before even increasing the total payed out.

    Would be good to make up for the dividend restrictions during covid. Would a divvy 12c + 30c (special) seem overly optimistic? (There are less shares available and the co still seems undervalued – maybe more so when they announce the interim figures.)

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/5451/5451641-0689eda02a2dafbaf6ad092a153d496a.jpg


 
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