what would be a fair price if, page-17

So no one is prepared to comment on my legitimate Q above?

Id also be into this big time if you could convince me how to calculate a 95% probability of this land deal going through? I know my stats but cant see anyone doing the calc in a convincing way. All I see is people adding up the rewards from a prosperous income... which I totally agree with so! but the deal has to be done for this to convince me.

Sometimes it has even been exchanged for 99%, so what was is it 95% or 99%. ie 1 in 20 land sales would fail or 1 in 100 will fail?

If the deal is not done, those thinking they will get another deal straight after have to ask whether its REALLY possible for the reasons of the failure... that we also find out later. So the risk is not just 5% or 1%, that some here are trying to make out.

I look fwd to an intelligent and constructive argument that this forum as all about... then Im in. If I get a rant and that Im DRing answer then obviously this is a sensitive risky stock. If I get no answer again then you all should be worried at buying in at these levels.