I think you are right about the AGL pricing. Looking at Q3 revenue of $359K on sales of 44,930GJ is $8GJ which supports your numbers.
It's hard to reverse engineer the AGL contract but it has a major influence on what VEN's cashflow looks like moving forward. This is my guess on what it could look like based on the little we know.
AGL deal- $15m pre-payment for 9-16PJ's through to Dec. 26 is two supply tranches. To be provided as a mix of firm and variable pricing at market rates. I assume that AGL don't want to sink VEN so they need to let some cash through and would pro-rate the production over 3 years (24-26)
1. Two supply tranches, so one deal for the first 9pj's another for the next 7pj's.
2. The first tranche needs to pay the $15m plus interest, say 20% so $18m (so $2gj)
3. So the first tranche price could be $10gj? ($8gj cash plus $2 pre-payment)
4. The remaining 7pj's could then be at variable pricing but with a toll payable to AGL. Say $1gj?
So AGL's return for $15m pre-payment to VEN would be between $18-25m. Pretty basic but I need something to plug into a spreadsheet!! I put this up in the hopes of getting some discussion going about the AGL deal. Any feedback is welcome.
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- Ann: FY23 Q4 Quarterly Report & Appendix 5B
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Ann: FY23 Q4 Quarterly Report & Appendix 5B, page-18
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Mkt cap ! $8.347M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
0.4¢ | 0.4¢ | 0.4¢ | $17.14K | 4.286M |
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No. | Vol. | Price($) |
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1 | 1136880 | 0.4¢ |
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Price($) | Vol. | No. |
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0.5¢ | 11616868 | 20 |
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No. | Vol. | Price($) |
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1 | 1136880 | 0.004 |
28 | 25220562 | 0.003 |
22 | 21090832 | 0.002 |
7 | 19500000 | 0.001 |
0 | 0 | 0.000 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
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0.005 | 11616868 | 20 |
0.006 | 6629715 | 9 |
0.007 | 680000 | 2 |
0.008 | 235419 | 1 |
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Last trade - 14.51pm 25/06/2025 (20 minute delay) ? |
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