@RandallGraves Good point there. When the MSP is commissioned and working properly on all 4 product streams, they will simply flick the switch to process all HMC in a month onto final product. premium zircon needs 6000t minimum shipment, 32,000t P-Zir annual, so call it 2.4 months at 100% run-rate ship P-Zir final product. At 75% run-rate (which they will get to once equipment problems are rectified there is no doubt, 100% is in doubt) is one shipment every 3.2 months. So in one quarter once they hit 75% WCP and confident in same from MSP they will transition from HMC to final product sales is my call.
Assuming July is another 50-60% shocker, say 75% achievable by end September. So I expect the Dec Qtr will pivot from HMC to final product sales, with ilmenite the first to be shipped (~1 per month at 75% WCP) followed by the others by end of Qtr. Clearly final products are worth a lot more than mixed HMC. This exercise of transition from monthly HMC cashflow to virtually 3 months no sales revenue (1 ship of ilm) until end Qtr is a good explanation why they needed to raise cash for more working capital (in addition to more capex than guided and rectification works etc). Gap of 2 months no HMC sales worth ~$25M shortfall, then up and running.
All in all just another reason STA will wallow waiting for updates on WCP production progress, grades, costs etc... then the Dec Qtr wait to see if MSP runs with efficient recoveries to final products. Sigh...
GLTAH