Mikey, as I was on my phone during quarter time at my local WAFL match, here's the numbers more precisely:
- Japan = 300,000 scripts
- US with 3 times the population will be 900,000 scripts (same per capita of population affected)
- 900,000 scripts @ $700USD = $630,000,000USD annual revenue
- If they only do 75% scripts of that, then $472,500,000USD annual revenue
- Making 70% profit of that = $330,750,000USD Net annual profit
- Hell, let's say only 50% net profit of that = $236mUSD
- Divide that by 1.42b shares and x 15PE = $2.49USD ($3.90AUD/share)
For me, even with extra, extra caution factored in, we're undoubtedly +$3AUD/share. And that's not even considering the remaining pipeline.
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