RAC 2.41% $1.62 race oncology ltd

RAC - Charts & Price Action, page-17280

  1. 1,245 Posts.
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    Here's some facts:
    Sept 30 - June 31st
    We have lost 514 shareholders in total.
    515 of those shareholders gone from the 0-10,000 Quartile
    1+ Gain above 10,000

    The 10 -100k has been fairly consistent based on the previous 2 years, i would argue based on when this quartile boomed and hasn't varied that much, the average price for this quartile would be much higher than today's SP - Rusting them on so to speak (Easier to stomach a $3k loss than a $30k loss IMO)

    The T249 has increased by nearly 5m shares in this period (Bullish)
    T20 is up 0.5% in the last 6 weeks. Net buyers (Bullish)

    Conclusion, a small amount of weak hands, panicking has killed the SP and overwhelmed in the absence of enough buying.
    Example, the 100+ club purchasing 0.75% in the last quarter has not been enough to overcome a 4% churn of the SOI within 4 weeks. Its just simple math, even a very small amount of selling has overcome an even smaller amount of buying. But the fact remains that 95% + of the shares are sticking and slowly moving to the higher quartiles over time.

    It will be very interesting to see the next Quarterly as i think that will give us a very clear line in the sand since the update and we will see how many holders have cut and run, and from which quartile.

    Its crazy to think just 4% SOI has dropped the SP 48% in 4 weeks!

    Last 4 quarters broken down below.

    Sept 30th 2022
    7495 owned 9.35%
    1429 owned 27.91%
    244 owned 62.74% > T20 33.68% of this > BG was 1.15% of this
    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/5525/5525909-017131de8e34d857be058b9b716821e5.jpg




    Dec 31st 2022
    7392 owned 9.29%
    1421 owned 28.04%
    244 owned 62.67% > T20 33.68% of this > BG was 0.65% of this
    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/5525/5525885-6a29fa8972f7272cdb410f0a57ae1e10.jpg



    March 31st 2023
    7198 owned 8.91%
    1423 owned 27.7%
    254 owned 63.39% > T20 33.24% of this > BG gone.
    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/5525/5525877-ddd62054c11ac238e804aef5ae2799f3.jpg


    June 31st 2023
    6980 owned 8.5%
    1425 hold 27.36%
    249 hold 64.14% > T20 33.75% of this)
    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/5525/5525955-3c46575b9b623f3a03de41d6c5432a6a.jpg

    Last 4 weeks trading - 4.05% of SOI


    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/5525/5525865-bb86e53840fb4dc21be41d5c74f00331.jpg

 
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