The Brains Trust - 2023, page-1516

I am actually reading the Black Swan here by Nassim Taleb so that may have influenced my answer......

But it is important that a black swan can be anything we don't expect like the avoidance of a recession everyone sees coming.

Policy or leadership change in China - image the impact on copper there.

FED back flip to support election.

I am always wrong so it's just the cost of being wrong I need to focus on.