FY-20 FY-21 FY-22 FY-23 FY-24 FY-25 FY-26 FY-27 FY-28 FY-29 FY-30 1 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2 2020a 2021a 2022a 2023a 2024e 2025e 2026e 2027e 2028e 2029e 2030e 3 Production/Operational 4 Pilgangoora 5 Key Metrics: Ore Mined 812.1 2,095.7 3,406.4 5,034.8 4,486.0 5,050.0 6,375.0 6,800.0 9,600.0 9,600.0 9,600.0 6 Strip Ratio 1.4 2.2 5.3 5.3 6.2 7.8 7.8 7.8 6.0 6.0 6.0 7 Ore Processed 642.2 1,579.6 2,415.3 3,445.3 3,927.1 5,050.0 6,375.0 6,800.0 9,600.0 9,600.0 9,600.0 8 Pilgangoora Spod Prod 90.8 281.1 331.9 620.2 657.7 808.5 1,012.0 1,065.0 1,503.5 1,503.5 1,503.5 9 Spodumene Shipped 116.3 281.4 315.0 607.5 660.0 808.5 1,012.0 1,065.0 1,503.5 1,503.5 1,503.5 10 UBS Realised Spodumene Price 519.7 478.4 2,309.0 4,507.5 1,240.0 889.1 1,041.4 1,198.7 1,354.5 1,408.8 1,444.1 11 Unit Costs (CIF China) 359.5 392.2 651.5 749.4 557.2 589.4 640.2 696.1 675.0 694.6 712.0 12 Unit Costs (CIF China) 535.6 524.9 897.5 1,113.1 851.4 877.7 916.1 958.7 902.1 926.1 949.3 13 AISC (CIF China) 359.5 392.2 661.9 831.9 637.2 657.7 698.4 733.0 702.6 722.9 741.0
WACC 10% 1 Valuation Summary A$m A$/sh 2 Pilgangoora 7,368 2.42 3 Calix Midstream 200 0.07 4 POSCO Downstream (PLS 18%) 296 0.10 5 Exploration 1,300 0.43 6 Corporate & Other (499) -0.16 7 Total Assets 8,666 2.84 8 Net Debt/(Cash) (551) 0.18 9 Price Target 9,217 3.05
Don’t shoot me down. I’ve been on/off PLS for some time and own a large holding in other Li stocks. Attracted by current beaten down status for premium product and future non-China IRA compliant downstream product.
UBS model is detailed (extract above) and useful even if we don’t agree with assumptions.
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Last
$3.11 |
Change
-0.090(2.81%) |
Mkt cap ! $9.360B |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
$3.15 | $3.17 | $3.06 | $206.5M | 66.15M |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
3 | 212414 | $3.11 |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
$3.12 | 1870994 | 18 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 285 | 3.110 |
4 | 27505 | 3.100 |
1 | 164 | 3.090 |
17 | 142692 | 3.080 |
33 | 181439 | 3.070 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
3.120 | 26906 | 7 |
3.130 | 48096 | 5 |
3.140 | 95050 | 7 |
3.150 | 34167 | 6 |
3.160 | 105230 | 4 |
Last trade - 16.10pm 21/06/2024 (20 minute delay) ? |
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