XJO - Bear Posts only (Factors which might cause the markets to fall), page-13874

1. "It looks like the trillions that Biden has been spending on weapons & climate change has turned the GDP around"

The US defence budget is just under 1 T or about 800B. So Biden has not been spending Trillions on weapons.
As far as the security assistance provided to Ukraine its under the Lend Lease act (first used in 1941 to stop Adolf Hitler another dictator very much like the one in Russia) & is about 44.9 Billion.
I agree with you about 90% of the funds goes directly back into the US economy. IMHO The money has been well spent as it has significantly diminished the capabilities of the 2nd most powerful military in the world without a injury to a single American serviceman. Its a real shame the majority of a casualties (about 300,000) on the Russian side are from the poorer ethinic minority regions like the Buryatia region in Russia’s far east & not from St Petersberg or Moscow.

2. I have always been under the impression that the GOP were better at managing the economy ? If you are a bear and really hoping for a recession then the GOP really need to win the next elections to improve the probabilities.

Why ?Ten of the eleven U.S. recessions between 1953 and 2020 began under Republican presidents

Here is a link to the wiki page.

DEM vs GOP gdp, jobs