MFG 0.09% $10.78 magellan financial group limited

Ann: Funds Under Management and Performance Fee Update - Dec 2023, page-3

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  1. 2,994 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 1136

    back of an envelope calc:
    - retail vs Institutional share still relatively stable compared to Jun23 (retail ~46-47% of total FUMs)
    - if we assume that they earn ~60bps on the average FUM of $36.9bn then you get revenues of ~$108m for 6 mths (note that for FY23 they earned 67bps so there is upside there of ~10-12m)
    - they have guided to $95-100m in expenses for FY24 so assume they had costs of $50m
    => PBT of ~$53m for 1H23 on the funds management business

    You then have probably a decent return from their Magellan Funds investment offset with losses at Barrenjoey (tough half for investment banks).....so not a total basket case, but the big question mark is whether this is the bottom of the cycle for outflows?

 
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