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02/02/24
18:12
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Originally posted by Dragone64:
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Dear Jumpstart I need to clarify that a little. I bought my first HMX on August 21, 2019 at a price of 3.2 cents (what a coincidence). Before that I was invested in Echo Resources (Bronzewing). Echo was bought by Northern Star. 80% profit made in 2 months. In March/April 2020 (some still remember, the mood was not so good then) I bought like crazy HMX at a SP between 1.1 and 2.1 cents (7-digit positions). I regret a little not having sold when prices were close to 10 cents (which has already been the case 3 times). First conclusion: I am in the red. But in percentage terms this is rather irrelevant . I'll explain why in a moment. One or 2 good week and everything is green again. I made my first investment 42 years ago (you?). My first 10-15 years (including the 1987 crash or the invasion of Kuwait in 1991) were wild. I traded everything you could trade. I took out loans - leveraged like hell. Realized big gains and big losses in a few days. I don't know anyone who got rich from trading - at least not sustainably. I know some people who have amassed wealth through years of patience and following a goal or a trend. Second conclusion: only speculate with your own money. Preferably with money that you don't need. Trading is fun - but in the long term it doesn't pay off. I bought my first share in Australia at the beginning of 2008. An explorer/developer. It doubled in 4 weeks (from 50c to 1$). I bought more because some brokers thought it should go to $3 or $4. Then came the financial crisis. At the beginning of 2009, the SP was at 2 cents. 98% loss for me - on paper. I bought in like crazy for over 4 weeks. I was probably the only buyer. In 2012, I sold this investment at an SP between 1.20 and 1.45. Third conclusion: You make the most money when others sell headlessly and without thinking. Ideally in phases of total capitulation. Many people think that technical analysis is nonsense. There is something to it. On the other hand - if you look at the RSI on a weekly basis of HMX, we have rarely been this low in the last 10 years. It doesn't necessarily mean anything, but it shows that we are in a phase of capitulation. Fourth conclusion: Technical indicators are only important when they reflect extreme situations. Nothing has happened since the beginning of the year. No news. No results. Such results could be forthcoming as early as next week. Perhaps not until mid-February. More drilling to come. Honestly - as if someone here has high losses - e.g. 70% minus and now wants to save a few percent - then I think it would be better to wait for the results and accept losing another 20%. Unless you have to sell because you can no longer cover loans, for example. This is how fund managers who speculate (sorry - invest) with their own money normally behave. Fifth conclusion: I think some people made a good buy today. From a risk/reward perspective in any case . So I'm not drowning in losses. Especially because I don't need this money. I continue to follow this story and I have time. As far as I'm concerned, the SP can fall even further - at some point it will just get ridiculously cheap - and as I've done a few times in my life, I'll buy a few more pieces. HMX has had some very good moments in the last 3 years. The team just hasn't had the luck to confirm exciting discoveries. The portfolio remains what it is. The opportunities are still there. I'm sure Dan is extremely disappointed with the SP development. We all are - even me. The question is always what you do with it. Whether you let yourself be guided emotionally or sit back, review everything and think rationally about what you want to do next. Emotions are usually a very bad guide - especially in difficult situations. For my part, I'm not going to sell. Especially not at this level. Anyone who sells in such phases, even though results and developments are imminent, must be desperate. I would be desperate if I had terminal cancer. With this in mind, I wish everyone a great weekend. Even those on my ignore list.
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that's all great, but it's not 1980 anymore. Any mug could buy and hold and make money back then. not so now. You're in the red. it's ok. I loaded up in March '20 at $0.01 having bought in originally at $0.03. I'm almost red too. shit happens. terrible mgmt have killed this stock. As always with small cap miners. engineers and geologists make terrible businessmen.