Hey Lux
You'll likely be wondering as to my abscence ... be not afraid !??? ... I was indeed held at lets say 'Gastronomic Gunpoint' last night (incredible take away Thai, only offered buffet style in in front of TV.... sounds tolerable, why the 'gunpoint' ... point ? Right?
Survivor was on... having seen the show about 15 years ago I was nonplussed, consumed.. consuming.
But .. all way not lost.. about half way through there was a twist ! The innovative scripting was frankly (contextually) astounding
..instead of sending someone off the island .. like it was 'like 2006'.. they announced the person leaving the losing tribe would in fact be on a mission to disaffect the other tribe! Wow... ! I wonder if they'll be found out? The INTRIGUE!
Anyway, I thought I'd share that by way of explanation.
Unrelated .. in response to your point re risk
Risk is for want of a better definition voracity x probability, am I right?
So.. lets say I had $1 invested here and I was completely comfortable with that exposure, we were in no way... lets say 'take away comprised'... lets consider a hypothetical with that in mind.
Hypothetical
A) BIT results are horrific, its all a conspiracy, an Orwellain nightmare, the tribe implodes.... You might be able to apply your complex risk model better than I'd ever be able to comprehend, but with my limited abilities.. I (please correct me if Im wrong) get a loss of approximately what $1...was I close?
B) Now lets say peoples adverse comments re risk didnt reasonate and it was successful and BIT negotiated 'market rates' for its offering .... do you think my dollar would be worth more like maybe 1.02c or more still like say market size x5% x yrs of forecast revenue x discount applied / shares issued? So I guess Im saying (maybe you can help me dmor....whats the risk if say I didnt invest bcs say I was fixated on losing my $1? Or even if I sold here?
You can be quite definitive, so I guess you know better, which is the greater risk? A, B or of course C (sorry forgot to mention it) ... insipid cynical myopia... the type you might find in maybe a tribal council meeting ?
Thoughts?
DYOR folks....
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