not too shabby eh!, page-3

  1. 15,866 Posts.
    Scorpion,

    Yes you have missed some stuff!

    The cost is wrong. In the mining process you need to shift 3 tonne of dirt to get one tonne of ore. Therefore you need to add $3.40 x 3 to the cost of the ore rather than just $3.40.

    Administration and exploration run at about $20 million per year rather than $5m.

    You have ignored the funding costs for the mine construction which may run at about $50 million per year assuming a 10 year life.

    The production wont run at 3 million tpa until about 3 years into the mining process which is still about 2 years from now.

    Apply all of that and no doubt some other missing factors, (eg EPS of 4 or 5 rather than 7 as the high % stuff runs out fast) and the worth slides back fairly quickly.
 
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