APX 59.3% 68.5¢ appen limited

Dark hypothesis, page-20

  1. 4,946 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 2416
    "bouncing off accurately predicted NADIR" - accurately predicted by whom? Certainly not by you! You have made 78 separate predictions of a new "NADIR" since your first... here:
    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/5950/5950008-f9ebfe99a17236cfa0e357c1ca425e0f.jpg

    Even if 28c turns out to be the turning point, on every possible measure of "accurate", you fail:
    • Getting 1 value right out of 78 tries is a success rate of 1.28%
    • Your original prediction was out by a factor of more than 13.
    • The eventual nadir is more than 90% below your original prediction.
 
watchlist Created with Sketch. Add APX (ASX) to my watchlist
arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch. arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch.