Our first official +1.5C year. Well done everyone! It's amazing how good we are at f@$king everything up., page-311

https://www.climate.gov/news-features/blogs/beyond-data/2023-historic-year-us-billion-dollar-weather-and-climate-disasters#:~:text=In%202023%2C%20the%20United%20States,2023%20disasters%20totaled%20%2492.9%20billion.

No surprise that insurance companies would be keen to cook their books with climate alarmism. However, uncertainty is admitted:



'Likely' means there's a 34% chance, according to the IPCC, that what they state as 'likely' is, in fact, not really happening. Here's what the IPCC says:

The IPCC's likelihood scale:
Virtually certain: 99 to 100 per cent probability
Extremely likely: Over 95 per cent. According to the IPCC, it is now “extremely likely” that human activity is to blame for climate change
Very likely: Above 90 per cent
Likely: Above 66 per cent
More likely than not: 50 per cent and above
About as likely as not: Between 33 and 66 per cent
Unlikely: Zero to 33 per cent
Very unlikely: Zero to 10 per cent
Extremely unlikely: Zero to five per cent

Interestingly, check out the 'more likely than not' scale. I don't think it needs explaining to point out how silly this is.