Australia's largest stock trading and investment forum Australia's #1 stock forum

Dunkley byelection, page-694

First 694 Last

Share
Profile

Follow
Cowboyinvestor

23,686 Posts.

33

06/03/24

19:41

Post #: 72780537
Share

Originally posted by oldbull26: ↑

Cowboy is quoting figures that do not apply to a by election in a labor held seat when there is a labor govt in Canberra. He is using average swings across all by elections. But that is not applicable to a labor seat in a labor govt.

The correct swing has been 8.2% against Labor according to Antony Green.

This is direct quote from Green.

At the eight by-elections in Labor seats during Labor governments, the average swing was 8.2%

https://antonygreen.com.au/background-on-federal-by-election-swings/

Expand

you mean I’m using the entire data set of by elections and not trying to craft a specious argument based on a smaller sample size because some how it makes you feel better about a swing against Labor in the by election
1 Upvote

Reply

Top Stories

DRO

History repeats for DroneShield investors but carnage so far subdued

BDM

Burgundy plunges -20% after turning to layoffs to navigate record-low diamond prices

PSC

Prospect's Mumbezhi Project puts it at the middle of copper's megatrend. And FQM just bought in

Week 29 Wrap: ASX hits new all time high of 8,766pts ahead of Aug 1

Listen: HotCopper Wire Podcast 018 – Potatoes, TACOs, and the $120M helicopter heist

STN

Saturn brings up seventh straight Apollo Hill upgrade on 'impressive' 300-hole drill run

SER

Strategic Energy extends its QLD copper-gold frontier with Diamantina acquisition

AII

A new NASDAQ listing for a key player in the global critical minerals space

SYR

Syrah jumps +19% as graphite tariff threat spurs optimism down under

HotCopper Highlights: Trigg; Droneshield; Lumos & more

First 694 Last