Personally I think we are waiting for more F-16 pilots to be trained before a full scale crossing of the Dnipro river in Kherson.
The Kerch bridge will be cut. The Black Sea fleet is already useless.
The only issue is the land bridge which Ukraine probably can't cut between Mariupol and Crimea. That will be the toughest part.
Disabling the Black Sea fleet and poking the eyes out of air defense is already paving the way. Slowly but surely.
None of this can occur without western support. I think Macron can see the writing on the wall that Trump will win the next election and we'll have that orange fruitloop back in power.
Europe really needs to wake up and start mass producing arms and training more people. I think they are still sleepwalking.
I think the US has to keep some powder dry for any future China or Iran conflicts. Most likely Taiwan.
Trump is deluded if he thinks his opposition are business people and not egotistical maniacs.
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