PAA 7.32% 22.0¢ pharmaust limited

Ann: Application for quotation of securities - PAA, page-50

  1. 1,216 Posts.
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    $400 million is way unders. It's not hard to calculate a value, the only variable open for debate is the discount for risk if PAA is bought now. I figure the chances of study success at about 80%, so BP would be looking for a 50% discount in order to keep some meat on the bone. It must be recognised that if PAA increases life expectancy x 3 it also triples income. I think the asset when approved is worth USD $4.8B. Bought now = 2.4B.
 
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22.0¢ 124358 3
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