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22/03/24
22:12
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Originally posted by pintohoo:
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IMO, there's 2 types of inundations - there's the classic -''the rising of a body of water and its overflowing onto normally dry land . “plains fertilized by annual inundations” synonyms: alluvion, deluge, flood.' ' and that's what we are familiar with today - look to maybe California for a good example and then there's what I would call another kind (which might be not technically inundation) - which is when sea levels rise and land is then always underwater of which there's plenty of geological evidence. for humans - the technical inundation is the major concern - it will be the economics of that inundation that drive humans back up from flood and tidal surge etc. So, when we get to debates about why sea levels are lower here than there - to me - it's even more of a waste of energy and time discussing how - as is talking about Co2 - if it is a cause of cc, if it's mm problem etc etc here's the reality -------------------- SLR IS different in different parts of the world and, it's complicated -------- but, there's a simple thing for all of us - beyond doubt - that SL changes Now - with what we see in our climate records happening right now - and not just one record - but, an entire chapter of clusters of climate records busting year after year lately - it looks very much like that there's a high risk of rapid SLR ------ and that's a monster problem - because inundation will become more and more frequent -- if it continues - and the actual hard evidence atm suggests that it's going to continue and more rapidly - then there has to be the most significant economic impact on any coastal low lying populated areas -------------- it's odds on. IMO, what we should be discussing is how to manage 'what if' ---------- not discussing how 'what if' is going to happen - the evidence is clear - we are well on the way to 'what if' go ask a Californian if they believe in SLR ditto things like - when we get the next La Nina - do we think that the East Coast might be at high risk of flooding????????? -------------- if we are terribly lucky - some freak thing will prevent it - but, if it's as per usual - we'll get more damage, more homeless and a new bumper insurance premium and more calls to not inhabit those areas ---------- or risk areas above the floods - the relocation of humans has already begun by the time that the areas which are now dry land are permanently submerged - we'll be long gone from them (hills look pretty good)
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Are you suggesting that El Nińa and El Niño are some Mm Co2 anomalies? Coastal erosion and coastal inundation are part of the natural cycle. Coastal erosion is not proof of sea levels rising, way too many nutbags look at infrastructure falling into the ocean and think “That must be because the sea levels are rising “ when in fact it’s just erosion. Sharpen up your analytical skills, big fella. Unless you are happy to be seen as a “led by the nose, nincanpoop “. Erosion at one particular location has what has disappeared, turn up at another location.