PNR 4.35% 12.0¢ pantoro limited

MQ24 Production and Cashflow Estimates, page-36

  1. 12,006 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 6774
    Damn, I spent quite a bit of time on that table and the formatting went to sh$t.


    Production SalesUnaccounted
    12024 March Q19,23517,9961,239
    22023 Dec Q18,18518,10778
    32023 Sept Q13,145Approx 1320050
    42023 June Q10,345............

    Cheers @stompers that makes sense, but as @wassa points out, why they didn't explain this (or perhaps I still don't see it in some detail I have missed)...
    Agree about April production update, as the market really wants to see PNR actually make money...

    Wassa - I still think PNR will outproduce OBM, albeit, it's likely to be a tight race, as OBM has only 1 U/G mine and that is not going to change for 12+ months at the earliest. For what it's worth, I think PNR is likely able to get even more out of the plant (perhaps not much more, but I think 1.2mtpa is a achievable goal considering it's basically brand new, 20% over nameplate is nothing really, with some new plants able to achieve closer to 50% higher with the right ore blend).

    Scotia and Ok/Star will, at full production will eclipse OBMs Riverina.
    OK/Star - 28-32k p.a (approx 45-55kt p.a)

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/6107/6107091-74559ba895b0d49d4b2f7f4dbfd7b2d0.jpg
    Scotia - 450kt p.a. (65k ounces)

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/6107/6107085-b325f385a4e3c6a27fdd27e21ab8794f.jpg

    Only half filling the mill, with the rest being open pit, or around 600kt at 1.0-1.5-2.0 (19k - 28k - 38k ounces)

    Grand total range - (after recoveries of 94%)
    Low-105,000 ounces
    1Medium-115,000 ounces
    2High127,000 ounces

    The 600ktp.a that is processing low grade open pits... is basically a incredibly clear avenue for upsizing the amount of ounces this project can generate.... why do the mid tiers not see this?

    As always, everything I post is pure speculation, to keep any and all lawyers at bay.
 
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