CSIRO was Wrong, page-25

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    “Build fifty year stations once or rebuild solar and wind three or four times in the 50 years.”


    arrh - nope, try some reality, it hurts a bit, but it’s good for you


    The average working lifespan of a solar farm is typically 25-40 years, depending on various factors.[1][2][3][4]

    Solar panels themselves have an expected lifespan of around 25-30 years, after which their power output declines significantly due to degradation at a rate of around 0.5-0.8% per year.[3][4] However, with proper maintenance, high-quality equipment, and replacement of components like inverters, the overall solar farm can continue operating for up to 40 years or more.[1]

    Some key points regarding the lifespan of solar farms:

    - Current market conditions allow solar farm infrastructure like buildings and electrical works to comfortably reach a 40-year lifespan with adequate operations and maintenance services.[1]

    - Solar panel manufacturers now offer longer product warranties of up to 30 years and performance guarantees of up to 12 years, boosting the projected lifetime of solar farms.[1]

    - Business models have shifted towards increasing the designed lifespan of solar farms from 25 years to 35-40 years in ambitious cases.[1]

    - Factors like maintenance quality, availability of spare parts, environmental conditions, and timely replacement of degraded components play a crucial role in extending the solar farm's operational life.[1][2]

    - While solar panels may last 25-30 years, other components like inverters may need replacement earlier, around every 5-15 years, to keep the farm running optimally.[1]

    So in summary, with proper design, high-quality components, and diligent maintenance practices, modern solar farms can realistically achieve a working lifespan of 35-40 years or more.[1][2][3][4]


    [1] Solar PV power plant lifespan - BLOG - Vector Renewables https://www.vectorenewables.com/en/blog/solar-pv-power-plant-lifespan
    [2] How Long Do Solar Farms Last? - Solair World https://solairworld.com/how-long-do-solar-farms-last/
    [3] How Long Do Solar Panels Last? Solar Panel Lifespan 101 https://www.energysage.com/solar/how-long-do-solar-panels-last/
    [4] How Long Do Solar Panels Last? (2024 Guide) - MarketWatch https://www.marketwatch.com/guides/solar/how-long-do-solar-panels-last/
    [5] US solar farms are aging. Is it time to begin repowering? - Utility Dive https://www.utilitydive.com/news/us-solar-farms-are-aging-is-it-time-to-begin-repowering/690978/
    ———————


    The average working lifespan of a wind turbine is typically around 20-25 years, according to multiple expert sources cited in the search results.[1][2][3][4] Specifically:

    - Most modern wind turbines are designed to last for 20 years, according to Professor David Wood, an expert in mechanical engineering and renewable energy.[1]

    - Dr. Mark Diesendorf, a sustainable energy expert, states that generators in wind turbines should last at least 20 years, similar to generators in fossil fuel power plants.[1]

    - A 2019 survey of U.S. wind industry professionals found that while assumptions range from 25-40 years, most respondents cited an expected useful life of 30 years for wind projects.[2]

    - The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency states that the typical lifespan of a wind turbine is 20 years.[1]

    - An article mentions that the lifespan of the average wind turbine is 20-25 years.[3]

    So in summary, while there is some variation, most experts and industry sources indicate that modern wind turbines have an average working lifespan in the range of 20-25 years, with 20 years being a commonly cited figure.[1][2][3][4]

    Sources
    [1] Wind turbine lifespan claim generates misinformation https://www.aap.com.au/factcheck/wind-turbine-lifespan-claim-generates-misinformation/
    [2] New study finds that the expected useful life of wind projects has ... https://emp.lbl.gov/news/new-study-finds-expected-useful-life-wind
    [3] Where Do Wind Turbines Go To Die? - Inside Energy https://insideenergy.org/2016/09/09/where-do-wind-turbines-go-to-die/
    [4] Wind turbines are ageing – what happens next? - Power Technology https://www.power-technology.com/features/wind-turbines-are-ageing-what-happens-next/
    [5] Turbine lifetime limits require a reality check | News+ - IJGlobal https://www.ijglobal.com/articles/157132/turbine-lifetime-limits-require-a-reality-check
 
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