MEI 0.00% 17.0¢ meteoric resources nl

Ann: Capao do Mel Resource Update Doubles Caldeira M&I Resources, page-21

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    Hello. Looking at Aclara Resources Carina now. https://cdn.prod.website-files.com/6267a587be31507747a1c8b6/65aebbed8b366c4e97f4c1f9_PR_Carina%20Module_PEA%20VF_clean_2.pdf

    It looks like this Scoping Study (PEA) is really cooked. My calculations get their current basket price (pre-discounted payability for carbonates) is around US$28.31/kg; where as this Scoping Study appears to use Net Smelter Return of US$/t 49.20, which I get is a hefty US$105.38/kg. Or calculating simply, their US$474M in revenue divided by their 4,498t annual production comes to US$105.38/kg in forecast revenue.

    Their opex at 1,510ppm is US$13.10/t, which comes to US$28/kg. For my personal assessment, they look uneconomic, to me; particularly if discounting their revenues by a generous 20%. To add, their recoveries appear to me 42% for Pr-ND and 44%-45% for Dy-Tb.

    I doubt the scale of plant (their 9.6Mt ROM vs MEI's 5.0Mt ROM) will make a difference to operating costs. Since MEI over 10 years has just over double the grade, at best halve the MEI operating costs, which comes to US$14/kg.

    Their CAPEX is a whopping $576M, with what appears to be an addition $106M in sustaining capital ($6m pa). Therefore, proportionally, a 5MTpa plant would be $300M. However, you would add another 20% reduced scale, thus $360M.

    Looks like dreams to me.


    Last edited by GKeden: 13/06/24
 
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