Assuming no surprise at the IPO and Karoon delivers, my valuation is between 14-18 AUD a share depending on IPO at low or bottom of range.
If I am missing anything, please enlight me or if you think there is some technical headwinds, please share. Opinion are much appreciated.
Below are my personal valuation scenarios:
IPO at bottom of range:
Total shares 217
AUD/$ 1
Low
Aus business 4.5
Brazil business 9.0
Other 0
Cash 0.62
Per Share 14.1
Brazil IPO - Calculation details
Stake Value - USD 621
Stake 31.9%
Total Brazil - USD 1947
Total Brazil - AUD 1947
MBB 570
$ per B 3.4
Cash on hands
Placement 186
SPP 80
Old 70
336
Value of cash 40%
IPO at top of range
Total shares 217
AUD/$ 1
High
Aus business 6
Brazil business 11.2
Other 0
Cash 1.08
Per Share 18.2
Brazil IPO - Calculation details
Stake Value - USD 773
Stake 31.9%
Total Brazil - USD 2423
Total Brazil - AUD 2423
MBB 570
$ per B 4.3
Cash on hands
Placement 186
SPP 80
Old 70
336
Value of cash 70%
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