Ann: Progressing to full production at Expandable Graphite site, page-15

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GasGuzler

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23/06/24

14:08

Post #: 74446025
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Originally posted by ferrarii: ↑

First time poster at EVG but been holding for years. Managed to average down but low liquidity is a killer at the moment.

While discount rate used seems low (in current market) even if that is @10% the NPV would at least still be double/triple current market cap.

Probably only concern at the moment is working capital:
1. Sales won't happen till Q3'24 and depending when it is shipped out to Europe could only see cash inflow Q4'24. Sea freight from India to Europe will take between 4-6weeks. Would be good if they can get a portion of it in cash upfront unlikely.
2. To ramp up production they would need to buy concentrate/raw materials to 150t/month. Any ideas what this would look like from costing and recovery perspective? Apologies if its already in all the materials presented. If we assume 100% recovery would indicate 900t (for Q3'24-Q4'24) raw materials (lets say at A$1000/t) = A$0.9m or A$0.45m for EVG's share (though highly dependant on concentrate price)
3. Q1'24 cash sits at ~A$2.5m, Q1'24 cash used in operating was A$.44m <- and this was before production start/ramp up, I imagine would increase meaningfully in Q2-Q3'24.

Gut feel is if they want to expand production rapidly to capitalise on demand they might need a cap raise to start procurement on those longer lead time items. Different story if they could get some type of working cap debt funding to not dilute shareholders!

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they have 1000 tonnes of raw material on site as per last annocument

EVG Price at posting: 2.1¢ Sentiment: Buy Disclosure: Held
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Last 2.3¢		Change 0.001(4.55%)		Mkt cap ! $7.980M

Open	High	Low	Value	Volume
2.4¢	2.4¢	2.2¢	$11.47K	502.2K

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No.	Vol.	Price($)
2	574805	2.2¢

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Price($)	Vol.	No.
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No.	Vol.	Price($)
2	574805	0.022
3	696190	0.021
7	1119220	0.020
2	236439	0.019
1	200000	0.018

Price($)	Vol.	No.
0.023	145650	1
0.024	93194	2
0.025	212873	2
0.026	50000	1
0.027	10858	1

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Ann: Progressing to full production at Expandable Graphite site, page-15

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Ann: Progressing to full production at Expandable Graphite site, page-15

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