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住友商事株式会社 - Sumitomo Shoji Kabushiki Geisha, page-87

  1. 4,347 Posts.
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    In the next few weeks the PFS produced by Lycopodium should drop.

    Pre-empting that there are a couple of data points that hopefully indicate roughly where this PFS could land.

    The first from earlier this year :
    https://www.fastmarkets.com/insights/construction-begins-at-ares-us-acidspar-plant-fluorspar-deemed-critical-by-govt/
    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/6278/6278902-6dd3ca0c113f983face6b4232bf65eb8.jpg

    The second :
    https://x.com/grantfwilson/status/1755013536781402350
    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/6278/6278904-7b999662769745668be075fc6653c001.jpg
    The third :
    https://download-files.wixmp.com/ugd/8105fa_a8add2f7447849ca89a61265de1f35b2.pdf?token=eyJhbGciOiJIUzI1NiIsInR5cCI6IkpXVCJ9.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.StFrpithfEtNxHjEyNZVGH3sLMcGpURovdkdb-7NwoI
    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/6278/6278907-32ebfe8b111aa1cbc30d5b0ed5a2150b.jpg
    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/6278/6278909-3ee4e4b705dfd5c7694ba64e900a81d1.jpg
    Specifically :
    https://www.aresmining.com/post/ares-strategic-mining-completes-conceptual-mine-planning
    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/6278/6278915-0edc8e2b315adcb95d11e4fceefa7b73.jpg

    Conjecture is this :
    Australian/Speewah production zone 140ktpa to 300ktpa.
    Total NSE $US/t Fluourspar range $577 USD to $720 USD.
    AIC baseline $219 USD tonne

    I'm no accountant but assuming mid range for all 3 figures above - 220ktpa.
    Fluorspar of $610 USD - $134MUSD
    Total NSR $US/t mill feed - $300USD @ 220ktpa = $66M USD
    $68M USD less capex cost of circa USD $200M.

    These numbers are going to be way off however, relative ROI will not be that far off the mark IMO.
    No idea what the pay down on USD $200M would be, but this looks like it will be relatively profitable.
    Last edited by Propunter2: 30/06/24
 
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