WA1 1.70% $13.75 wa1 resources ltd

Ann: West Arunta Project - Luni MRE, page-285

ANNOUNCEMENT SPONSORED BY PLUS500
ANNOUNCEMENT SPONSORED BY PLUS500
CFD TRADING PLATFORM
CFD Service. Your Capital is at risk
CFD TRADING PLATFORM CFD Service. Your Capital is at risk
ANNOUNCEMENT SPONSORED BY PLUS500
CFD TRADING PLATFORM CFD Service. Your Capital is at risk
  1. 2,169 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 765
    If you apply CMOCs metrics (10,000tpa) to WA1 we will still come in at 2.2b MC for such a small operation. CMOC ROI is 37% on their niobium, their grade is 1.3%.

    Ive used conservative recoveries and grades in the below table for WA1, But with only a 700ktpa plant. Also expect the ROI will be alot better for WA1 because of the higher grade.
    ParameterValue
    1Plant Size0.765 mtpa
    2Plant Availability 85%
    3Effective Plant Throughput650,250 tons
    4Feed Grade (Niobium) 2%
    5Recovery Rate50%
    6Niobium Content in Ore13,005 tons
    7Recoverable Niobium 6,502.5 tons
    8Ferroniobium Production (FeNb)10,004 tons
    9Sale Price per Ton $40,000
    10Annual Revenue$400,160,000
    11Net Profit with 37% ROI$148,059,200
    12NPV (5 years, 10% discount rate)$530,660,856.45
    13Market Capitalization (P/E = 10)$1,480,592,000

    Converted to AUD:
    AUD= $2,220,888,000 MC

    Example what CAPEX would be,

    Nolans Rare Earths Project (Arafura Resources

    Capacity: Approximately 650ktpa

    Estimated Construction Cost: Around $680 million AUD

    The government funding for Arufura is around $840million total

    I believe there will be a supply gap, CBMMs 150kpta is based on 100% availability? I posted a table somewhere, ill see if i can find it, But it had all the metals requiring niobium and their individual CAGR %. Tallying them all up came up to 174kt of niobium needed by 2030 (Thats not taking into account if Nb Batteries kick off). There was a 30-40k shortfall by 2030 if you based CBMMs 150kpta on 85% availability.

    Even if we only start off small, WA1 will be worth at least 1.5B to 2B.
    Last edited by Naydoe: 03/07/24
 
watchlist Created with Sketch. Add WA1 (ASX) to my watchlist
(20min delay)
Last
$13.75
Change
0.230(1.70%)
Mkt cap ! $931.0M
Open High Low Value Volume
$13.21 $13.92 $13.21 $1.693M 124.4K

Buyers (Bids)

No. Vol. Price($)
1 758 $13.63
 

Sellers (Offers)

Price($) Vol. No.
$13.86 758 2
View Market Depth
Last trade - 16.10pm 01/11/2024 (20 minute delay) ?
WA1 (ASX) Chart
arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch. arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch.