Muslim Party, page-86

  1. 20,303 Posts.
    I work on probability.
    Queensland has a coast exposed to cyclone events measuring 2000km.

    The damage from a Cat 5 is spread over 50kms.
    A Cat 5 crosses the coast once in 25 years.

    Therefore 50/2000 = a 2.5% chance of it passing over within 25 kms of my house.
    And in any year there is a 2.5/25 or 0.1%.

    I can live and sleep with that.
 
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