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French nuclear giant scraps SMR plans due to soaring costs, will start over, page-127

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Tarvold

28,055 Posts.

1367

04/07/24

13:06

Post #: 74606519
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Originally posted by Andrewst10: ↑

How would you describe the 'Sensitivity Analysis' for this modelling exercise, given we don't know :

1. which reactors, a
2. which mix of reactors
3. how many of these reactors,
4, and therefore no 'reasonable range' of output for the modelling.

When your modelling is overloaded by major assumptions and lacking in any depth - as above - your financial modelling is worthless.

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Originally posted by Andrewst10: ↑

"Like any decent model"

Which it obviously is not. Nowhere near defining the key outcomes of the exercise.

"Like any government project the veracity of the estimate would be refined over time"

Migration from 'back of the envelope'

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There are so many unknowns with the current LNP Nuclear 'plan' that you wouldn't even bother to try & start any modelling.
It would be a pointless exercise.
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