ALK 1.27% 40.0¢ alkane resources limited

Ann: Boda-Kaiser Scoping Study, page-18

  1. 9,054 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 3945
    Numbers as they stand stack pretty like for like with CVV which is valued at A$100m. If you back A$75-100m out of our current MC I still think it makes Tomingley look cheap even considering recent miss steps (if that is how you want to phrase it).

    To @Antipater_100 point this will end up a much longer life project than 17 years, once initial capex hurdle is gone then the requirement for additional material to make a profit will be a lot lower and this will go for decades.

    On this basis an NPV kind of becomes a little redundant too. Numbers that are important are capex, payback period and annual EBITDA/FCF

    AISC of A$600 on 150koz is cheap. That is basically $450m EBITDA/yr at spot prices.

    Maybe they can consider non owner operated fleet etc and bring capex down and push opex up a little at the start to make the hurdle a little easier.

    Grade for the 20Mtpa scenario is pretty low 0.26g/t Au and 0.15% Cu. First 5 years a bit higher at like 0.32g/t and 0.18% Cu

    If we can find a 50Mt near surface pocket somewhere of even say 0.45g/t and 0.25% Cu (not asking for miracles) then that would make a huge difference in payback period and likelihood of project getting up.

    At the end of the day this was always a bull market asset and this SS to me confirms that it is a pretty reasonable one.

    Only takes a few things to go right and it gets a lot better
 
watchlist Created with Sketch. Add ALK (ASX) to my watchlist
(20min delay)
Last
40.0¢
Change
0.005(1.27%)
Mkt cap ! $241.3M
Open High Low Value Volume
40.5¢ 40.5¢ 39.5¢ $217.3K 543.2K

Buyers (Bids)

No. Vol. Price($)
2 8800 40.0¢
 

Sellers (Offers)

Price($) Vol. No.
40.5¢ 140277 5
View Market Depth
Last trade - 16.10pm 06/09/2024 (20 minute delay) ?
ALK (ASX) Chart
arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch. arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch.