''I think that the Trump honeymoon that the MAGA Republican Party is currently enjoying will not last.
Once Biden releases power and is replaced by someone much younger than Trump, there will be a swing to the middle.''
the timing is interesting -------
I really don't know much about political timing in elections - but, I believe it's like sport -
you need to reach the peak of your momentum for the event -------- to peak early is very often to lose ------- particularly if the opposition peaks on time
clearly atm - Trump/GOP have the momentum in the Presidential race
but, will it continue?
the Dems - ?? looks highly likely that Biden will go. The questions then become numerous ------- beginning with who and when - and how will the needle swing depending on who
the odds (for me) aren't good enough to back in a democrat win --------so, that suggests to me that the market doesn't think that Trump/GOP momentum continuing is a sure thing --------- favourites still, yes
but, not runaway short price atm - even with all this current momentum
tis early days still
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