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10.5¢ percheron therapeutics limited

Ann: Phase IIb study of ATL1102 in DMD completes recruitment, page-146

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itsagas

13,427 Posts.

1439

22/07/24

08:26

Post #: 74850675
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Originally posted by mac9: ↑

Hi Itsa,
not a mistake, it was intentional.
As mentioned it was an impromptu conservative call.
When extrapolating on potential futures that are dynamic and speculative I find it best to work from lower bases, keeping expectations to the minimal side.
As you will note, i worked on a 50% discount to all aspects, and also only included one region instead of all.
This allows the figures to be in a realistic zone, with minimal expectation.
Starting with maximum expectations is a bad place to start as it leaves a high probability of disappointment if not met.
I like to leave room for up side, not down side.
If a conservative assessment provides appealing figures, then the future looks good generally.

And if putting figures out there publically, expect to be scrutinised, so to avoid being jumped on, be realistic.

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Thank you Mac9
it validates my exaggerated future Sp

PER Price at posting: 8.0¢ Sentiment: Buy Disclosure: Held
1 Upvote

0 Great analysis

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