PLS 0.67% $2.96 pilbara minerals limited

PLS chart, page-22614

  1. 3,146 Posts.
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    Hi folks

    I posted my hand-drawn chart last week. I am showing it again. But this time I thought I would provide some insight of how I use it in conjunction with the quarterly report.

    I am focusing on the green $AUD revenue line which last quarter rose from 192 to 305, a 59% rise. A very strong rise, what was behind it?

    Looking at the qrtly, shipped spod rose from 179 to 235.8 (+43%) while production was 226.2 so dug into so previous qrts stockpiles.
    Production rose from 179 to 226 (+26%). Under P1000 it seems to be reaching towards peak production without P2000 being implemented, which is much further down the track.

    So I am looking at the chances of that green revenue line continuing upwards from approx 300 to 400. That represents a further 33% growth in revenue.
    If production gets to 230 and matches shipped spod, then production is not going to be the driving force towards a further 33% revenue gain.

    So any chance of that 33% gain being achieved would need to be reliant on the $US price for shipped 5.3% spod increasing from 840 to 1117. This quarter the price rose 4% from 804 to 840.

    Not completely out of the question, but in my opinion unlikely because of my second chart.

    If it was beginning to happen in this quarter, then I would expect it to be starting to be reflected in the SP of other big international Lith stocks like ALB, SQM, Ganfeng and Tianqi. We are already 1/3rd into the quarter and on my second chart I have shown for each of the four Lith companies in a 1 month comparison chart. It shows no growth in SP for July, in fact it reveals a further slight decline.

    Just one example of how I play with my rough hand-drawn chart. I also pay attention to the Qrtly Hi/Lo SP candles. Lower-highs, Lower-lows and DCB's?

    Then there is the gap between the SP and the revenue, but maybe that can wait for another play day.

    Just my ramblings, so DYOR.

    cheers Lies


    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/6345/6345228-1838e87bfcabcb35627328b47c3cf5d9.jpg

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/6345/6345285-1237d6c04c369c7da5068eecedeac96c.jpg


 
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