Its Over, page-23136

  1. 3,709 Posts.
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    Alrighty, here we go.

    First off, USD / JPY monthly chart, holding above 20 EMA...

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/6355/6355109-545617de82124150adb090ba4498d664.jpg


    And weekly chart, recently fallen under 20 EMA...

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/6355/6355112-e96fe687a93aeecc7522b776d702258c.jpg

    Clearly an uptrend channel, which has pulled right back to the bottom with precision.
    A solid bounce here continues the bull case.
    A failure of the channel brings 20 MONTH EMA into play as potential secondary support, along with prior horizontal resistance/support ~145.
    A failure of all that suggests downside target ~137.

    Prior to this, chart had broken out of a 30 year downtrend, and the recent high ~160 was a resistance level back then.
    Overall, I'd say this is a strongly bullish chart which I would buy on a bounce.

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    AUD / USD
    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/6355/6355182-df563d4c6edcc4c8522e53d298ecae58.jpg
    Downtrend channel, with some false/failed breakouts.
    A potential Inverse H&S setup was destroyed 2 years ago.


    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/6355/6355193-84905db5c958493cdd877ce5a0a3c1f6.jpg

    Bear Pennant setup here;
    I've drawn the largest version, you could use a smaller version starting from the next peak down.
    Failure targets for the Pennants line up pretty well with the 100% and 78.6% retrace levels. So around 60 and 55.


    This has been downtrending for 13 years, but can definitely flip-flop over time.
    I certainly wouldn't buy it, but I'd also think twice about shorting it.

    * * * * * *

    How's all that sit with your views?

 
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