ALK 3.61% 40.0¢ alkane resources limited

Alk Chart, page-2363

  1. 4,042 Posts.
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    Continued from last week.

    Why I am confident in adding to my stack as price keeps dropping.

    To put last quarter into perspective...

    Out of the gold producers I follow, ALK had the largest % increase in production QoQ.

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/6358/6358661-0dc2eddaff90fbded414db3d9d07541b.jpg


    And...
    Largest drop in AISC QoQ

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/6358/6358669-f6f0aa20b311bd342a2d05daf0921141.jpg



    ALK didn't even start hitting Roswell's primary stopes until April 22nd (nearly a third of the way into the quarter but still beat previous quarterly production numbers by 60%)
    ALK mined more high-grade dirt than milled (sunk costs). Stockpile build 25,438 tonne @ 3.42gt.
    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/6358/6358692-de6d65e0f422499c188461247558bba5.jpg





    In Q4, their mill upgrade will result in a further 10% gold recovery, further driving up production and reducing costs.

    ALK have a history of overachieving conservative guidance targets.
    From my research ALK have hit or exceeded guidance 9 out of the previous 10 years.
    2015 hit guidance
    2016 hit guidance
    2017 beat guidance
    2018 hit guidance
    2019 hit guidance
    2020 hit guidance
    2021 beat guidance
    2022 beat guidance
    2023 beat guidance
    2024 missed guidance for the first time since TGO ramped up a decade ago.

    I challenge anyone to find me a gold producer that has a better guidance hitting track record.

    I've run out of time again.

    In the next post I will attempt to explain why I think this guidance trend will likely continue.

    to be cont...
 
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