but, if anyone wants some long shot bets - cheap outlay and bumper returns if it came off ------ looking at who would replace Kamala or Donald if they had to pull out is - interesting.
There are any number of reasons why Harris or Trump would be off the race -
For either of them - health - illness or accident or wilful harm.
Also - they just might pull out - doubt for Harris there, but Trump is capable of anything.
Likelyhood? ------ well, longshot in both cases - but, you never know.
So what odds are about for anyone if one of them has to withdraw - well, there, it gets interesting - and I've taken two potentials -
Democrats - very likely runner - Shapiro - odds
Shapiro - about 500:1 --------- (500 yesterday, 460 today)
A Donald replacement - more difficult. But one of the obvious - Vance, odds
340:1
Now, again - yep, long shots - but
20 bucks on Shapiro would return about $10,000 if he comes home as election winner
20 bucks on Vance - return - about $6,800
Now - think about this - if Donny fell down the stairs - think about the odds drop on Vance?
you wouldn't have to wait for the name of the new nominee - you could probably take a cash out
If something happened to Kamala ---------- Shapiros odds would plummet - and I suggest that Shapiro would be overall race favourite -
and there you are sitting with a 20 buck ticket and a win would return you 10 grand
