“Last update: 3:30 p.m., Friday, August 9: After a very strong poll in Nevada, Kamala Harris is now a 57 percent favorite to win the Silver State, a big reversal from Joe Biden’s consistently terrible polling there. Nevada only has a 3 percent chance of being the tipping-point state because it has only 6 electoral votes — but it still opens up a few more pathways for Harris: Nevada’s 6 electoral votes plus either Georgia or North Carolina’s 15 could make up for the loss of Pennsylvania, for instance.”
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https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model
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