WA1 4.84% $16.45 wa1 resources ltd

General discussion, page-12176

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    Using data from the WA1 Metallurgical Results andcommodity indexes, this analysis presents what the phosphate by-product wouldlook like for a 2 million tonnes per annum (MTPA) plant.

    The only estimate madeis for the OPEX, as the phosphate concentrate is treated as a"by-product." Consequently, no OPEX is attributed to the stepsleading up to beneficiation

    Step 1: Ore Feed Parameters (Excluding from OPEX)

    • Ore Input: 2,000,000 tonnes
    • Feed Grade: 24.9% P₂O₅

    Step 2: Beneficiation Process (Excluding from OPEX)

    Objective: To concentrate the phosphate content from the ore, increasing the P₂O₅ percentage.

    Key Parameters:

    • Phosphate Recovery Rate (after beneficiation): 65.2%
    • Concentrate Grade: 37.6% P₂O₅

    Outcome:

    1. Total P₂O₅ in Ore: 498,000 tonnes
    2. Recovered P₂O₅ (after beneficiation): 324,696 tonnes
    3. Phosphate Concentrate Output: 863,026 tonnes

    Step 3: Conversion of Phosphate Concentrate to PhosphoricAcid (H₃PO₄)

    Objective: To convert the concentrated phosphate into phosphoric acid, which is the precursor to DAP.

    Chemical Reaction:

    P₂O₅ + 3 H₂O → 2 H₃PO₄\text{P₂O₅ + 3 H₂O → 2 H₃PO₄}P₂O₅ + 3 H₂O → 2 H₃PO₄

    Outcome:

    1. Phosphoric Acid (H₃PO₄) Produced: 446,332 tonnes

    Step 4: Ammoniation to Produce DAP

    Objective: To react the produced phosphoric acid with ammonia (NH₃) to form Diammonium Phosphate (DAP).

    Chemical Reaction:

    H₃PO₄ + 2 NH₃ → (NH₄)₂HPO₄ (DAP)\text{H₃PO₄ + 2 NH₃ → (NH₄)₂HPO₄ (DAP)}H₃PO₄ + 2 NH₃ → (NH₄)₂HPO₄ (DAP)

    Outcome:

    1. Ammonia (NH₃) Needed: 155,828 tonnes
    2. DAP Produced: 601,454 tonnes

    Step 5: Sulfuric Acid Requirement

    Objective: To determine the amount of sulfuric acid (H₂SO₄) needed to produce phosphoric acid.

    Chemical Reaction:

    Ca₅(PO₄)₃F + 5 H₂SO₄ + 10 H₂O → 3 H₃PO₄ + 5 CaSO₄\cdotp2H₂O + HF\text{Ca₅(PO₄)₃F + 5 H₂SO₄ + 10 H₂O → 3 H₃PO₄ + 5 CaSO₄·2H₂O + HF}Ca₅(PO₄)₃F + 5 H₂SO₄ + 10 H₂O → 3 H₃PO₄ + 5 CaSO₄\cdotp2H₂O + HF

    Outcome:

    1. Sulfuric Acid (H₂SO₄) Needed: 744,732 tonnes

    Step 6: Cost Calculations

    Market Prices:

    • Price of Ammonia (NH₃): AUD$600 per tonne
    • Price of Sulfuric Acid (H₂SO₄): AUD$60 per tonne
    • DAP Sale Price: AUD$825 per tonne

    Step 7: OPEX Breakdown (Post-Beneficiation)

    1. Raw Materials Costs (Ammonia and Sulfuric Acid)

    • Ammonia Cost:
      • 155,828 tonnes × AUD$600 = AUD$93,496,800
    • Sulfuric Acid Cost:
      • 744,732 tonnes × AUD$60 = AUD$44,683,920
    • Total Raw Materials Cost: AUD$138,180,720

    2. Energy Costs:

    • Estimated Cost: AUD$27.6 million to AUD$34.5 million

    3. Labor Costs:

    • Estimated Cost: AUD$13.8 million to AUD$20.7 million

    4. Maintenance and Repairs:

    • Estimated Cost: AUD$6.9 million to AUD$13.8 million

    5. Consumables:

    • Estimated Cost: AUD$4.1 million to AUD$6.9 million

    6. Environmental Compliance:

    • Estimated Cost: AUD$6.9 million to AUD$13.8 million

    7. Logistics and Transportation:

    • Estimated Cost: AUD$6.9 million to AUD$13.8 million

    8. Insurance and Miscellaneous:

    • Estimated Cost: AUD$2.8 million to AUD$5.5 million

    Step 8: Total OPEX (Post-Beneficiation)

    OPEX Range:

    • Lower Estimate: AUD$206.2 million
    • Upper Estimate: AUD$246.2 million

    Step 9: Revenue and Profit Calculation

    Total Revenue from DAP:

    • 601,454 tonnes × AUD$825 = AUD$496,199,550

    Total Profit:

    • Total Profit Range:
      • Lower Estimate: AUD$496,199,550 - AUD$246.2 million = AUD$250 million
      • Upper Estimate: AUD$496,199,550 - AUD$206.2 million = AUD$290 million

    Summary:

    Process Overview (Post-Beneficiation)

    • Phosphoric Acid Produced: 446,332 tonnes
    • Ammonia Needed: 155,828 tonnes
    • Sulfuric Acid Needed: 744,732 tonnes
    • DAP Produced: 601,454 tonnes


    Financial Summary in AUD:

    • Total OPEX: AUD$206.2 million to AUD$246.2 million
    • Total Revenue from DAP Sales: AUD$496,199,550
    • Total Profit: AUD$250 million to AUD$290 million
    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/6407/6407229-893c393b1c06a7f6220329e47d212972.jpg


    First time looking into a fertilizer plant, happy for anyone to sift through and point out any errors I have made.

    Enjoy
 
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