STX 6.67% 21.0¢ strike energy limited

Ann: Erregulla Deep-1 Update, page-43

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  1. 618
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    By increasing the COS from 50% to 75%, it has increased the risked NAV for ED1 from 4cps to 6cps, and increasing overall valuation from 41cps to 43cps.

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/6411/6411621-9dc3c195bbbf99e4da86b504e9e2b4bd.jpg

    Given STX only had 25% of Booth and it was only risked at 10%, the risked NAV for Booth was less than 1cps, so failure of Booth had negligible impact on the overall valuation.

    Even though my valuation is about 25% higher than those of Bell and Euroz and they are the pros, I'm still confident in my model. Even if I am wrong by 25% and the fair value is 33cps, there is still a 100% upside based on current SP. That's why one should actually be happy about the SP cos IMHO, it really does present one heck of a buying opportunity.

    618
 
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