MOG 0.00% 0.5¢ moby oil & gas ltd

smart risk tolerant money to be made, page-3

  1. 4,556 Posts.
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    [p90(0.9) + p50(0.5) + p10(0.1)]

    Liked the working, nice work, except I think this addition is wrong. Probably should be an average or you should select one scenario as they are mutually exclusive.

    You can see the error, imagine you had an infinite number of points on the probability curve instead of just 3. Your addition would go to infinity, which is clearly incorrect.

    Like the rest of logic though.

 
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