PLS 3.23% $3.00 pilbara minerals limited

Good News & Bad News, page-45721

  1. 14,167 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 118
    hi
    So citi states that only one lithium mine is profitable ie Greenbushes
    and the method they used was "all-in sustaining cost"
    "Citi examined the seven Australian mines using analysis popularised by gold miners to arrive at a breakeven figure known as an all-insustaining cost including freight and royalties."
    well interestingly I used a similar methodology to work out costs for PLS but came to a different conclusion.
    My data comes from the most recent quarterly (June)

    this table gives you operating costs including transport and royalties via the Unit operating cost (CIF) which is A$733 and the number of tonnes sold ie 235,800 tonnes.
    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/6432/6432499-9943c85fb3edca3b1d518a66778564c2.jpg

    sustaining cap ex is derived by subtracting $123m - $59m which is A$64m

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/6432/6432515-fb1844ec033abb11c9459ece6340d3d6.jpg


    I then did the following calculation
    *cost of sales(CIF) = 235,800 x A$733 = A$173m
    *sustaining cap ex etc = A$63m
    Total costs A$236m
    convert A$ to US$ divide by 1.5
    US$157m
    breakeven = US$667
    ($157,333,333 / 235800 = US$667)

    Now as of yesterday the spod price was US$748
    $748 is > $667
    therefore Pilgangoora is profitable, agree?
    So I am saying Pilgangoora
    But Citi says it is not. It is saying that the only profitable mine is Greenbushes?

    where then did I go wrong?
    OR
    more to the point where did Citi go wrong?
    Does anyone have Citi's research?
    thanks
 
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