I wonder what would be fair multiple to price OPT providing that both trials are successful.
Let say marketing approval will not come before end of CY26 - CY27 sales might be a few hundred million then CY28 might be around $700-800M followed by $1B plus in CY29.
So maybe we need to consider next 5 years of earnings to factor SP.
Based on my rough conservative assumptions - OPT will make possibly $3B in revenue from 2025-2030.. which may result in earnings of $2B (assuming 30% margin)
$2B / 5 equals avg of 400M per year. Apply that with a PE of 10 gives a market cap 4B.
The divide 4B by the number of shares gives 4B / 1.3B = $3 SP
Interested to hear everyone’s thoughts on this.
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Last
65.5¢ |
Change
-0.045(6.43%) |
Mkt cap ! $806.3M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
69.5¢ | 69.5¢ | 63.0¢ | $2.808M | 4.305M |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 49996 | 65.5¢ |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
66.0¢ | 50869 | 6 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 49996 | 0.655 |
1 | 20700 | 0.650 |
2 | 12000 | 0.635 |
5 | 50383 | 0.630 |
1 | 750 | 0.625 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
0.660 | 30155 | 3 |
0.670 | 1600 | 1 |
0.705 | 39137 | 2 |
0.720 | 39749 | 3 |
0.730 | 939 | 1 |
Last trade - 16.10pm 15/11/2024 (20 minute delay) ? |
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