IVZ invictus energy ltd

Ann: Notification of cessation of securities - IVZ, page-48

  1. umw
    1,935 Posts.
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    You're correct with you being better off by $2,000. But you are looking at it from a view with different exposure of shares and a hindsight IVZ share price of 7.5 cents. But you would have been $6,100 worse off if the IVZ share price was 40 cents.

    If you then look at it from a view with same exposure of number of shares it paints a different picture again.

    See the 2 tables below, hopefully it's clear enough for you to see and realise that you would have been better off by selling 65,000 FPO, use $6,500 for yourself, and then from the surplus of $9,100 buy-back the 65,000 lapsed shares at a cost of $4,875, leaving you better off by $9,100 minus $4,875 which is $4,425.


    Table 1: Different exposure of shares
    Starting point: x FPO shares and 65,000 IVZAK
    1PLAY 1 - JAK
    2exercise IVZAK, sell them @ 24
    3Nett: $6,500 cash, x FPO shares, 0 IVZAK shares (total exposure of x shares)
    4PLAY 2 - UMW
    5sell 27,000 FPO @ 24, you get $6,480
    6Nett: $6,500 cash, x - 27,000 (FPO shares), and 65,000 IVZAK shares (total exposure of x + 38,000 shares)
    7
    818-24 months later, lets look at 3 different possible scenarios
    9SCENARIO 1 - share price @ 7.5 cents
    10OPTION 1 - JAK
    11x FPO shares
    12OPTION 2 - UMW
    13need to buy back those 27,000 FPO shares @ 7.5 cents on market (cost $2,025) to have x FPO shares again
    14
    15RESULT: JAK better off by $2,025
    16SCENARIO 2 - share price stays the same
    17OPTION 1 - JAK
    18x FPO shares
    19OPTION 2 - UMW
    20convert all options (cost $9,100), sell 65,000-27,000 FPO shares, return of $9,200, nett result $100 and x FPO shares
    21
    22RESULT: DRAW
    23SCENARIO 3 - share price @ 40 cents
    24OPTION 1 - JAK
    25x FPO shares
    26OPTION 2 - UMW
    27convert all options (cost $9,100), sell 65,000 - 27,000 FPO shares, return of $15,200, nett result $6,100 and x FPO shares
    28
    29RESULT: UMW better off by $6,100


    Table 2: Same exposure of shares
    Starting point: x FPO shares and 65,000 IVZAK
    1PLAY 1 - JAK
    2exercise IVZAK, sell them @ 24
    3Nett: $6,500 cash, x FPO shares, 0 IVZAK shares (total exposure of x shares)
    4PLAY 2 - UMW
    5sell 65,000 FPO @ 24
    6Nett: $15,600 cash ($9,100 surplus), x - 65,000 (FPO shares), and 65,000 IVZAK shares (total exposure of x shares)
    7
    818-24 months later, lets look at 3 different possible scenarios
    9SCENARIO 1 - share price @ 7.5 cents
    10OPTION 1 - JAK
    11x FPO shares
    12OPTION 2 - UMW
    13need to buy back those 65,000 FPO shares @ 7.5 cents on market (cost $4,875) to have x FPO shares again
    14
    15RESULT: UMW better off by $4,225 ($9,100 surplus minus $4,875 cost)
    16SCENARIO 2 - share price stays the same
    17OPTION 1 - JAK
    18x FPO shares
    19OPTION 2 - UMW
    20convert all options (cost $9,100) for a nett result of x FPO shares
    21
    22RESULT: DRAW
    23SCENARIO 3 - share price @ 40 cents
    24OPTION 1 - JAK
    25x FPO shares
    26OPTION 2 - UMW
    27convert all options (cost $9,100) for a nett result of x FPO shares
    28
    29RESULT: DRAW
 
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