OSL oncosil medical ltd

Ann: Investor Webinar Presentation, page-93

  1. 237 Posts.
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    Fair question, Gekkowolf — and I get where the frustration comes from. The $3 million quarterly burn has been a big overhang, but we’re now starting to see some genuine cost relief kick in, which should start showing up in the numbers soon.

    Here’s how I’ve broken it down:


    Ethics approvals (MDR-related saving):

    OncoSil has flagged it will save up to €2M over 3 years by no longer needing separate hospital ethics approvals (thanks to MDR). That works out to ~€167k per quarter, or ~$275k AUD using a 1.65 exchange rate. This saving is already active and ongoing.


    Trial cost savings (TRIPP-FFX & PANCOSIL):

    Assuming both trials cost about the same to administer, and based on recent recruitment updates:

    • TRIPP-FFX: ~18 patients per quarter

    • PANCOSIL: ~6 patients per quarter

    • Estimated cost: $12.5K USD per patient (based on procedure cost and ~50% margin)

      • $2.5K USD admin/reporting → $15K USD per patient total
        That gives a combined trial cost of ~$547k AUD per quarter when fully active.

    But with both trials ending in May, only one month of savings applies to this quarter. So the June quarter likely sees:

    • ~$365k AUD still incurred

    • ~$182k AUD saved

    So altogether, we’re looking at ~$457k AUD in estimated savings this quarter — not huge, but definitely a move in the right direction.

    From the September quarter, full trial savings kick in, which should bring total quarterly savings to ~$820k AUD (ethics + trial costs). And that’s before any revenue growth is factored in.


    Also worth noting: the Sydney manufacturing facility has come online this quarter. I’ve estimated an initial saving of $2,500 per patient (around 10%) across ~20 patients = ~$50k AUD this quarter. That figure is expected to ramp to $6,000 per patient (or ~$120k per quarter) after December 2025 as volume increases.

    Now on the topic of dilution — the 1.91 billion OSLOB options expiring 30 June 2025 at a strike of 0.9c have been known about for almost a year so further dilution is not exactly a surprise.

    Yes, the November 2024 raise was poorly timed — it felt forced and completely derailed the momentum we had from the G-BA approval. But that unexpected raise might actually mean we won’t need to raise as much this time around.

    And if another raise is needed, it could be done via a placement to an institutional or strategic investor- which would help strengthen the share registry and attract longer-term interest from the kind of investors we need on the journey.


    Let’s see what shows up in the quarterly by month-end — no pressure on me with all these projections, right?

 
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