*Here's a detailed analysis of Reach Resources' (ASX: RR1) Blue Heaven Mineral Resource Estimate (MRE) announcement from 9 April 2025, focusing on economic viability and the long-term outlook.
Executive Summary
Total Resource: 681,000 tonnes @ 2.8 g/t Au for 61,300 ounces of gold.
High Grade Focus: 92% of ounces in fresh rock averaging 3.1 g/t Au.
High Recoveries: Metallurgical test work shows 97% recovery.
Optimised at AU$3,500/oz, while the current gold price is ~AU$5,000/oz.
Located on a granted mining lease near infrastructure in WA.
Low CAPEX scenario likely, as processing discussions suggest toll treatment or third-party milling.
Economic Viability
Key Economic Inputs:
Gold Price Used in MRE: AU$3,500/oz (very conservative compared to spot AU$5,000/oz).
Mining Costs: AU$4.50/t
Processing Cost: AU$33.00/t
Recovery Assumption: 95% (actual test = 97%)
Dilution: 10%, Recovery: 95%
Cut-off Grade: 0.5 g/t Au
Grade and Resource Quality:
Head Grade (Average): 2.8 g/t Au overall; 3.1 g/t in fresh rock (dominant portion).
Indicated Resource: 443 kt @ 2.6 g/t = 37,400 oz (65% of resource, good confidence).
Inferred Resource: 238 kt @ 3.1 g/t = 23,900 oz (still solid).
Oxide vs Fresh: Most gold is in fresh rock, which generally is costlier to mine than oxide but compensated by grade.
Revenue Estimates (at current gold price AU$5,000/oz):
Gross in-situ value: 61,300 oz × AU$5,000 = AU$306.5 million
Even with 80–85% recovery of payable metal (mining, milling, refining deductions), this leaves room for strong margins.
CAPEX/Infrastructure:
The deposit is:
On a granted mining lease.
Near Great Northern Highway, fuel, and accommodation.
Potentially open-pittable from surface (low stripping ratio).
In WA’s active gold region, suggesting nearby toll treatment options exist.
Low CAPEX, fast-track development opportunity – if toll milling is secured, upfront costs could be minimized.
Long-Term Outlook
Exploration Upside:
Pansy Pit MRE pending.
4 km of largely unexplored strike on the Primrose Fault.
Mineralisation is open at depth and along strike.
Resource Confidence and Classification:
65% Indicated – good for early-stage economic studies.
Estimation methodology is JORC 2012-compliant and thorough.
Ordinary Kriging and strong QAQC procedures add reliability.
Metallurgy and Processing:
High metallurgical recovery (97%).
Gold is amenable to conventional leaching (CIL) – straightforward processing route.
Environmental & Permitting:
No red flags identified; area has mining history.
Being on a granted lease, development is de-risked in regulatory terms.
Risks to Consider
Risk Analysis 1 Small Resource Size 61koz is on the small end of the scale. Likely a short-life, low-tonnage, high-margin operation unless expanded. 2 Market Volatility If gold drops significantly (e.g., to AU$2,000/oz), project margins shrink. 3 Need for Toll Milling Processing deal is not yet finalised; securing a viable partner is critical. 4 Capex and Financing While low CAPEX is assumed, financing terms (debt/equity) can impact project economics. Final Verdict
Economically Viable?
Yes, based on:
Strong grades.
High recovery.
Low-cost, open-pit potential.
Favorable location & gold price.
Long-Term Outlook?
Positive but dependent on:
Defining additional ounces (e.g., Pansy Pit and Primrose Fault).
Securing processing solutions.
Converting more inferred to indicated/measured.
Gold price stability.
According to the announcement, Reach Resources Limited outlines several next steps to advance the Blue Heaven gold project following the positive Mineral Resource Estimate (MRE).Next Steps – Company Intentions
Finalise the MRE for the Pansy Pit
A separate Mineral Resource Estimate is already underway for the nearby Pansy Pit, which lies along the same Primrose Fault system as Blue Heaven.
This could significantly increase the total resource base and enhance project scale and economics.
Conduct Diamond Drilling
Purpose:
Collect more metallurgical samples for test work.
Obtain further structural information about the deposit.
This would help upgrade more of the resource from Inferred to Indicated, improving confidence in mine planning and potential feasibility studies.
Engage with Mining Contractors and Processors
Processing discussions are ongoing with various groups.
This suggests potential for toll treatment agreements or offtake partnerships, minimizing CAPEX and fast-tracking development.
The company hints at a forthcoming processing update.
Explore Along Strike
There's over 4km of largely unexplored strike on the Primrose Fault.
The company is likely to undertake step-out drilling to test these extensions, potentially expanding the scale of the project.
Advance Toward Development
The CEO notes the project is:
On a granted mining lease
Next to key infrastructure
With high gold recoveries (97%)
This supports a near-term pathway to shallow, open-pit mining, subject to additional studies and approvals.
Summary: Company’s Strategic Focus
Area Action Resource Growth Finalise Pansy MRE + drill strike extensions Metallurgy & Geotech Diamond drilling for test work Development Readiness Secure mining & processing partnerships Fast-Tracking Production Leverage granted lease and strong gold market *gpt4o
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