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Denial

10,383 Posts.

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11/05/25

14:03

Post #: 78997295
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Originally posted by hersuit: ↑

Well your recollections are faulty

Many experts, economists, and foreign policy analysts expressed deep concerns about his potential impact on both the economy and international relations. Here are some of the most notable headlines and articles from that period:
Economic Predictions
"Trump's Economic Policies Could Lead to a Global Recession"
The Guardian (Nov 9, 2016): This article examined the possible effects of Trump's trade and tax policies, warning that they could result in a global recession due to the unpredictable nature of his economic plans. Analysts noted that the uncertainty in markets following his victory could lead to instability.
Read more here
"Trump's Victory Could Set Off a Stock Market Crash"
The Washington Post (Nov 8, 2016): On Election Night, this article warned that Trump's potential victory could lead to a dramatic stock market crash. Financial experts suggested that the market would react negatively to Trump's rhetoric on trade, taxes, and immigration.
Read more here
⚔️ Geopolitical and War-Related Warnings
"Trump’s Foreign Policy Could Lead to International Crisis"
The New York Times (Oct 31, 2016): The article speculated that Trump's foreign policy stance, particularly his isolationist rhetoric and challenges to NATO, could result in international conflict. Experts feared his unpredictable decisions could lead to tensions with allies and conflict with adversaries.
Read more here
"A Trump Presidency Could Trigger World War III"
The Independent (Nov 9, 2016): In an analysis piece, experts discussed how Trump's statements on military intervention, NATO, and his unconventional foreign policy approach could increase the likelihood of global conflict. Some analysts warned that his unpredictability made the world a more dangerous place.
Read more here
"World on Edge as Trump's Victory Threatens Global Stability"
The Financial Times (Nov 9, 2016): This article discussed how Trump's victory had shaken global markets and raised concerns among foreign leaders about the stability of international relations. The uncertainty about Trump's handling of trade, defense, and diplomatic relationships was seen as a potential trigger for political instability and war.
Read more here
These articles reflect widespread anxiety and skepticism about Trump's ability to manage the U.S. economy and global relationships, based on his unconventional political style and lack of experience in international diplomacy. Would you like to delve into more specific predictions or reactions to these concerns?
Here’s a deeper dive into some of the specific predictions and reactions regarding the potential catastrophic consequences of a Trump presidency in 2016. These predictions were often framed around key issues such as economic instability, global conflict, and diplomatic isolation.
Economic Predictions and Reactions
"Trump’s Tax Cuts Could Spur Massive Deficits"
The Washington Post (Nov 8, 2016): Economic analysts predicted that Trump's tax cuts for corporations and the wealthy could lead to massive deficits. The concern was that cutting taxes while increasing military and infrastructure spending would balloon the national debt. Critics worried this would either result in higher taxes in the future or a credit downgrade for the U.S.
Reaction: Many mainstream economists worried that these fiscal policies would destabilize the economy, particularly if combined with trade protectionism, making the U.S. more vulnerable to global economic shocks.
Read more here
"Financial Markets Will React to Trump’s Victory"
The New York Times (Nov 9, 2016): After Trump’s victory, some financial analysts argued that there would be immediate market instability. The markets, which had largely expected a Clinton win, plunged at first, with many speculating that Trump's unpredictable trade and foreign policies could lead to a financial crash.
Reaction: As predicted, stocks did initially fall, but by the end of 2016, they rebounded, in part due to Trump's promise of tax cuts and deregulation. Some of these predictions of disaster were moderated by the eventual bullish market trends under his policies.
Read more here
"Trump Could Spark a Global Trade War"
Reuters (Nov 9, 2016): One of the most widely repeated concerns was that Trump's protectionist stance could spark a global trade war, especially with China and Mexico. His threats to impose tariffs on Chinese goods and renegotiate NAFTA raised alarms in both developed and developing nations.
Reaction: While Trump did indeed follow through on some protectionist promises (such as tariffs on China), the global trade war feared by analysts didn’t fully materialize in the early years. However, the trade war with China became a major part of his presidency’s first term, leading to tensions and economic slowdowns in both countries.
Read more here
⚔️ Geopolitical Concerns and Military Conflict Warnings
"Trump’s Foreign Policy Could Lead to World War III"
The Independent (Nov 9, 2016): Experts suggested that Trump's unpredictable foreign policy could increase the chances of global conflict, especially due to his statements about NATO and his soft stance on Russia. Analysts feared that his willingness to withdraw the U.S. from multilateral agreements could weaken global alliances and embolden adversarial countries.
Reaction: While a full-scale world war did not occur, the administration’s approach to NATO and relations with Russia and North Korea did generate significant global tensions. Trump’s meetings with Kim Jong-un and his criticism of NATO raised eyebrows but didn’t lead to a direct conflict.
Read more here
"Trump Will Undermine Global Alliances"
The Economist (Nov 10, 2016): This piece warned that Trump’s America First policy would weaken global alliances, particularly NATO and the EU, by questioning the U.S.’s commitment to these organizations. The concern was that this would leave a power vacuum that could be exploited by nations like Russia and China.
Reaction: Trump's presidency did see a strain on NATO alliances, especially after his criticisms of the organization and his demands for other members to increase defense spending. This raised concerns among European allies about the U.S.’s long-term commitment to their security.
Read more here
"Trump's Election Could Escalate Tensions With North Korea"
CNN (Nov 9, 2016): Analysts feared that Trump's tough rhetoric toward North Korea and his calls for increased military presence in the region could escalate tensions and potentially lead to military conflict. The concern was that Trump’s lack of diplomatic experience would lead to unanticipated military engagements.
Reaction: Trump's presidency indeed saw escalated tensions with North Korea, leading to multiple missile tests and a meeting between Trump and Kim Jong-un. However, the threat of full-scale war did not materialize.
Read more here
Reactions from Global Leaders and Political Figures
"Trump’s Election Puts Global Stability at Risk"
The Guardian (Nov 9, 2016): This article reflected on how global leaders reacted with concern, as Trump’s statements on trade, climate change, and NATO left the international community uncertain about future U.S. involvement in global cooperation.
Reaction: Trump's victory did cause international unease. Countries like Mexico, Germany, and China quickly voiced concerns about his trade policies and climate change stance. Over the years, some of these concerns were realized with trade disputes and the U.S. withdrawal from the Paris Agreement.
Read more here

Expand

Don't disagree the media forecast outcomes are never as bad as realty. However, one we can be reasonable confident Trump will continue to create havoc and headlines.

Trump has control of both houses until at least mid terms. Given he now has lowest net rating in history (including now negative on immigration) I see mid next year as potentially a lame duck presidency. Ironically this could in fact settle market vol.

On balance Trump is positive for GOLD. Hopefully we can make hay.,..
Last edited by Denial: 11/05/25

KCN Price at posting: $2.08 Sentiment: Buy Disclosure: Held
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