BC8 black cat syndicate limited

Ann: Drilling & Development Update - Paulsens, page-41

  1. 11,084 Posts.
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    Absolutely! Let's redo the calculation with the updated data:

    • Market cap:AUD$570 million
    • Reserves:2.5 million ounces
    • Gold price:US$3,300/oz (assuming current spot price)
    • Location:WA, Australia (which can positively influence valuation due to stable jurisdiction and experienced management)
    • Additional factors:Talented and experienced management typically support higher valuation multiples

    Step 1: Convert market cap to USD

    Using exchange rate:

    AUD$570 million×0.70≈US$399 million\text{AUD\$570 million} \times 0.70 \approx \text{US\$399 million}AUD$570 million×0.70US$399 million

    Step 2: Calculate the in-ground gold value

    2,500,000 oz×US$3,300/oz=US$8.25 billion2,500,000 \text{ oz} \times US\$3,300/\text{oz} = US\$8.25 \text{ billion}2,500,000 oz×US$3,300/oz=US$8.25 billion

    Step 3: Calculate valuation as a percentage of in-ground gold value

    Market cap in USDIn-ground value=US$399 millionUS$8.25 billion≈0.0483 or 4.83%\frac{\text{Market cap in USD}}{\text{In-ground value}} = \frac{US\$399\, \text{million}}{US\$8.25\, \text{billion}} \approx 0.0483 \text{ or } 4.83\%In-ground valueMarket cap in USD=US$8.25billionUS$399million0.0483 or 4.83%

    Step 4: Interpretation

    • Market cap (~US$399M)is about4.8%of thegross in-ground value.
    • This isquite low, especially considering:
      • Location in WA, a stable and mining-friendly jurisdiction.
      • Experienced management team, whichadds valueand can lead to better project execution.
      • Recent production, indicating the resource is already being monetized.

    Is BC8 undervalued?

    Compared to typical industry standards:

    • Established producers or mines with proven cash floware often valuedat or abovetheir in-ground gold value (multiples close to 1 or higher).
    • Early-stage or smaller producersmight be valued at10-30%of their in-ground value, but5% or lesssuggestssignificant undervaluation.

    Considering:

    • The location (WA),
    • Experienced management,
    • Recent production,

    It strongly suggests BC8 is likely undervalued, possibly due to market skepticism, recent listing, or other factors.

    Summary:

    ParameterValue
    1Reserves2.5 million oz
    2In-ground gold value @ US$3,300/ozUS$8.25 billion
    3Market cap (USD)~US$399 million
    4Valuation as % of in-ground value~4.8%

    Given the context, BC8 appears undervalued relative to its resource size and location.


 
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Last
94.0¢
Change
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Mkt cap ! $665.0M
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