XJO - Bear Posts only (Factors which might cause the markets to fall), page-22708

Next Monday is as good a day as any, but Im too chicken to predict anything in this market with all its shenanigans.

DAX - tripled in value in 5 years... volume is declining probably in part due to unacceptable risk of the yen carry trade.
None of those 3 almost vertical ascents have been properly back tested (the Trump Tariff dump does not count as a retest)
Their industrial and political landscape is in a mess. Their economy is flat lining with unemployment rising..
The volume of the recent rally was weak, about half of what it was 2 years ago.
Last 3 weekly candles show uncertainty.
If you believe a global trade war and recession is coming, the DAX 40 companies wont be immune from that.
Surely the DAX bulls are going to call it quits now and the DAX bears assume positions?



DJI has been pivoting around the 42K mark now for some 13 sessions. Exactly like the DAX, weekly volumes are about half of what they were 2 years ago.



If you allow me to substitute this for SPX (which I dont trade), NDX has been pivoting around 21360 level for some 13 sessions also. Volume levels are still holding up only slightly down the last few weeks, suggesting the AI hype is still holding up well.



Nikkei - almost tripled in value since Mar 2020. Has been pivoting around 38K for over a year now. Volume levels have retreated a lot since Aug 2024. The candles for the last 3 weeks , like the charts already mentioned above, show uncertainty and a loss of momentum.



Looks like they tried for a breakout, but after 35 years their economy is still a mess with an appalling 250% debt to GDP ratio that looks like its never going to be fixed. (are you paying attention, USA?)



So overall, on those 4 indexes, they all look weak and ready to roll over. I think @Ewebute has been saying this regularly for some time now about the XJO too.
The madness may just have finally come to an end, or at least when Trumps "90 day moratorium" ever friggin' comes around? (he keeps changing the goal posts).