PNV - Banter and General Comments, page-13769

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DocMcstuffins

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12/06/25

09:19

Post #: 79401225
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Originally posted by mondyinvest: ↑

Possibly time to revisit the short thesis that these threads have been promoting which was, I believe, that shorts were trying to 'push' PNV out of the 200. The rebalance has taken place and this didn't occur. I don't think this is a huge surprise, because inclusion/exclusion from the index is more than just market cap, a stock needs to have a certain amount of liquidity (and it also needs another stock who has performed strongly to be ready to replace it). That likely explains why SMR has recently been booted despite their market cap ($1.75B) being significantly higher than others who remain in the index, like PNV at $0.9B or NXL at $0.7B; I think this is because SMR have a single shareholder who holds 59% of the register; if market participants stop trading a coal stock like SMR it rapidly misses the liquidity requirement.

Williams has been unequivocal about the fact PNV won't be raising capital. So either a) those short the stock don't believe him and are positioning for a cash call, or b) they think the valuation remains challengingly full given the recent turmoil at the company management level. I am not passing judgment on whether the shorts are correct or not, just stating my opinion that those options remain the most likely reasons for the high short interest. We'll know for certain in a couple of weeks if the short interest really collapses (in which case I am wrong), or if it remains elevated despite the stock 'missing' the rebalance exit.

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Or the thesis may still be correct, but the shorts bet incorrectly.

Don't forget, the last two times we've been booted it's been on the back of intense shorting but no change in fundamentals, and the shorts have all closed after the rebalance and the price has climbed thereafter.

PNV Price at posting: $1.31 Sentiment: Buy Disclosure: Held
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(20min delay)
Last $1.22		Change 0.035(2.97%)		Mkt cap ! $842.8M

Open	High	Low	Value	Volume
$1.16	$1.23	$1.15	$2.122M	1.787M

Buyers (Bids)

No.	Vol.	Price($)
2	178	$1.31

Sellers (Offers)

Price($)	Vol.	No.
$1.10	1514	1

View Market Depth

No.	Vol.	Price($)
1	64	1.305
4	6311	1.290
17	71883	1.280
4	16016	1.275
1	3050	1.265

Price($)	Vol.	No.
1.095	1514	1
1.140	22404	6
1.150	40552	5
1.155	9650	1
1.170	18	1

Last trade - 15.59pm 16/06/2025 (20 minute delay)

PNV (ASX) Chart

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