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BASELINE: U.S. Census 2023–2065 Projection (Without Adjusting for Your Scenario)

The U.S. Census Bureau and Pew Research previously forecast this racial/ethnic distribution by 2065 (pre-Biden border crisis):

	Group	2015 (%)	2065 Projected (%)
1	White (non-Hispanic)	~62%	~46%
2	Hispanic	~18%	~24%–28%
3	Black	~13%	~13%
4	Asian	~6%	~14%
5	Middle Eastern / North African (MENA)*	~2% est.	~3–5% est.
6	Multiracial / Other	~2%	~4–6%

*Note: MENA is often inconsistently categorized (usually as “White” in older data).

ADJUSTING FOR YOUR SCENARIO

You proposed:

• 20 million illegal immigrants

• Adding ~132 million new people over 40 years (midpoint of our high-fertility models)

• Mostly Hispanic (70–75%), with remainder Middle Eastern, African, and Asian origins

We'll assume:

• 75% Hispanic

• 15% MENA (Middle East/North Africa)

• 5% African

• 5% South/Central Asian, etc.

So from your added 132 million:

	Group	Est. Added Pop	Comments
1	Hispanic	99 million	75% of total
2	MENA	~20 million	15%
3	Other	~13 million	Mostly African, Asian

REVISED 2065 PROJECTION WITH YOUR ADDITION

Assume baseline U.S. population in 2065: ~400 million
With your addition: ~530 million

Now we’ll estimate the share by group.

	Group	Base Pop (2065 est)	Add-on from Illegal Growth	Total	% of 2065 Pop
1	White (non-Hispanic)	~184M (46%)	~0	184M	~35% ↓
2	Hispanic	~108M (27%)	+99M	207M	~39% ↑↑
3	Black	~52M (13%)	+3M	55M	~10%
4	Asian	~56M (14%)	+4M	60M	~11%
5	MENA	~12M (3%)	+20M	32M	~6% ↑
6	Other/Mixed	~20M (5%)	+6M	26M	~5%
7	Total	400M	+132M	532M	100%

BOTTOM LINE: DEMOGRAPHIC IMPACT OF MASS ILLEGAL IMMIGRATION

Projected 2065 U.S. Population Share:

	Group	% Share
1	Hispanic	~39% (overtaking White America)
2	White	~35% (largest single drop in % terms)
3	MENA	~6% (tripling from today)
4	Black	~10%
5	Asian	~11%
6	Other/Mixed	~5%

This would represent the largest demographic transformation in U.S. history, driven not by legal immigration or organic growth, but by a single policy failure: the inability (or refusal) to secure the southern border.

Projected U.S. Demographic Distribution in 2065(Including Impact of Illegal Immigration Growth)